I see a lot of “vibes” about it, but has a real nonpartisan data scientist analyzed by key swing states what the SAVE act may do to the midterms?
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Like, I get the “feels” about more left leaning voters having passports, or being able to afford rush processing in an understaffed state department, or that less democratic women change their surname but, left leaning districts are already discrete in the obvious figures. We care about swings.
It’s a concerningly complicated math problem for everyone. And people are failing to take into account the weaponized incompetence and lack of staffing installed in the post office and state department which could effectively prevent many new applications from getting a passport by October.
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I see a lot of “vibes” about it, but has a real nonpartisan data scientist analyzed by key swing states what the SAVE act may do to the midterms? Taking into account passports per capita, voter registration, married women voters, disposable income to get a passport, and postal delays?
I haven't seen anything yet, but it still worries me.
My passport is expired (working on fixing that) and when they talked about this last year, I made a trip to the county records office to get a copy of my marriage certificate to go with my birth certificate to document the name change. I'm lucky I still live in the area I got married in and it wasn't prohibitively expensive.
Will it be enough if this shit goes through? No idea.
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It’s a concerningly complicated math problem for everyone. And people are failing to take into account the weaponized incompetence and lack of staffing installed in the post office and state department which could effectively prevent many new applications from getting a passport by October.
Hell, when I was leaving the county, I had to go to four post offices because the fingerprint reader was broken at three just for a police check.
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Like, I get the “feels” about more left leaning voters having passports, or being able to afford rush processing in an understaffed state department, or that less democratic women change their surname but, left leaning districts are already discrete in the obvious figures. We care about swings.
@hacks4pancakes is it wrong that I feel the appropriate response to this at the state level would be to prioritize the areas of higher population density for enhanced ID assistance?
Of course I've also mentally entertained a theoretical Illinois "we're doing it to save money" response to things like Georgia's 'black belt' voter ID moves. Things like "we're only going to have a few voting locations per House district." Sure some people in southern Illinois would have to go a few counties over to vote, but think of all the money the state could save!
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Hell, when I was leaving the county, I had to go to four post offices because the fingerprint reader was broken at three just for a police check.
I can’t help thinking about the brave black women who have bailed out Georgia on multiple occasions, and wonder how many of them will face local barriers now getting those documents…
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It’s a concerningly complicated math problem for everyone. And people are failing to take into account the weaponized incompetence and lack of staffing installed in the post office and state department which could effectively prevent many new applications from getting a passport by October.
@hacks4pancakes The trick is that it's going to be selectively enforced.
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I can’t help thinking about the brave black women who have bailed out Georgia on multiple occasions, and wonder how many of them will face local barriers now getting those documents…
I’m so deeply uncomfortable with the rosy Threads view that this poll tax travesty will actually help voters like me. They’ve all forgotten it will mean flying 26 hours each direction for me to vote - and also that my vote in a firm affluent blue district doesn’t matter a ton federally. I want Pennsylvania and Ohio numbers.
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I see a lot of “vibes” about it, but has a real nonpartisan data scientist analyzed by key swing states what the SAVE act may do to the midterms? Taking into account passports per capita, voter registration, married women voters, disposable income to get a passport, and postal delays?
@hacks4pancakes it is pay to vote.
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@hacks4pancakes The trick is that it's going to be selectively enforced.
@JessTheUnstill certainly
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I can’t help thinking about the brave black women who have bailed out Georgia on multiple occasions, and wonder how many of them will face local barriers now getting those documents…
@hacks4pancakes I put this site together. https://dontboo.vote we all need to do everything in our power to make sure that they don’t get away with this.
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@hacks4pancakes is it wrong that I feel the appropriate response to this at the state level would be to prioritize the areas of higher population density for enhanced ID assistance?
Of course I've also mentally entertained a theoretical Illinois "we're doing it to save money" response to things like Georgia's 'black belt' voter ID moves. Things like "we're only going to have a few voting locations per House district." Sure some people in southern Illinois would have to go a few counties over to vote, but think of all the money the state could save!
@fencepost @hacks4pancakes I think that’s a great idea. Use a couple (meaning two) polling places per state. Make sure they have great public transportation access since this is a public polling place. I’m sure car owners who live hundreds of miles away will find a way to make it. Just make sure to bring a passport, because a drivers license is not proof of citizenship.
While we’re at it, we can save a lot of money by letting the black panthers handle security. I’m sure some volunteer good guys with guns are much cheaper than police officers. Of course the polling place is otherwise gun-free.
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