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  3. I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

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  • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

    I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

    Phil Thane ✅P This user is from outside of this forum
    Phil Thane ✅P This user is from outside of this forum
    Phil Thane ✅
    wrote last edited by
    #8

    @drmikepj
    Having assessed the risk, do you now have to outline your plans to mitigate it? That should be interesting.

    Mike Prior-JonesD 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • P ProScience 🇪🇺

      @drmikepj

      And yet, this was a possible scenario ever since Trump sought the presidential candidacy, long before he got elected.

      P This user is from outside of this forum
      P This user is from outside of this forum
      ProScience 🇪🇺
      wrote last edited by
      #9

      @drmikepj

      TBH, I'm convinced he wouldn't be anywhere near it if not the Heritage Foundation fascists and the Silicon Valley fascists are actively pushing for it.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • Phil Thane ✅P Phil Thane ✅

        @drmikepj
        Having assessed the risk, do you now have to outline your plans to mitigate it? That should be interesting.

        Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
        Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
        Mike Prior-Jones
        wrote last edited by
        #10

        @pthane yes - basically we’ll cancel the fieldtrip if there’s a US military buildup before we leave the UK, and in any case we’ll make additional arrangements with the university and UK government science officials so people know where we are in case there’s a surprise

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

          I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

          N This user is from outside of this forum
          N This user is from outside of this forum
          N0tSure
          wrote last edited by
          #11

          @drmikepj 55000 inhabitqnts give or take. One mil each = 55 bils. Add another few bils for destabilization and fake whatever. Chump change.

          1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

            I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

            xs4me2X This user is from outside of this forum
            xs4me2X This user is from outside of this forum
            xs4me2
            wrote last edited by
            #12

            @drmikepj

            I would, and I’m not to sure about my convention in Vancouver in the summer…

            It all sounds like a black mirror episode.

            1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

              I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

              SkyLukeS This user is from outside of this forum
              SkyLukeS This user is from outside of this forum
              SkyLuke
              wrote last edited by
              #13

              @drmikepj I am afraid of a world with just one big global power. But Trump is working hard to make sure China rises to that position.

              T 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

                I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

                DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                Dave
                wrote last edited by
                #14

                @drmikepj

                The real question is evaluating that risk given it's all at whim, could be good, could be bad, anyway which way the wind blows?

                Mike Prior-JonesD 1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • SkyLukeS SkyLuke

                  @drmikepj I am afraid of a world with just one big global power. But Trump is working hard to make sure China rises to that position.

                  T This user is from outside of this forum
                  T This user is from outside of this forum
                  Tomala
                  wrote last edited by
                  #15

                  @SkyLuke @drmikepj

                  I think that in this case, the opposite is true.
                  After ~ 30 years, they woke up to the fact that capitalist greed had created a monster.
                  What we are now witnessing are convulsions in the face of an existential threat!

                  SkyLukeS 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • DaveT Dave

                    @drmikepj

                    The real question is evaluating that risk given it's all at whim, could be good, could be bad, anyway which way the wind blows?

                    Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                    Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                    Mike Prior-Jones
                    wrote last edited by
                    #16

                    @trelord75 I don’t need to quantify the risk particularly, but I do need to think about what would prompt me to cancel the trip before departure, or bring everyone home mid-trip. In both cases a military buildup nearby would be a trigger to cancel the trip and go home.

                    DaveT 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

                      @trelord75 I don’t need to quantify the risk particularly, but I do need to think about what would prompt me to cancel the trip before departure, or bring everyone home mid-trip. In both cases a military buildup nearby would be a trigger to cancel the trip and go home.

                      DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                      DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                      Dave
                      wrote last edited by
                      #17

                      @drmikepj

                      True but given the proximity, how close is enough, what is the range of the assets required to do what they might want to do, be logical is a good starting point, preempt it, long range bombing you may not know, but why would they bomb what they might need, surgical strikes more likely, so watch military movements, ships leaving, where are they going, carriers with required shorter range assets to do the job.

                      That's what I'd be looking at, no surprises, eliminate the possibilities, or confirm it, and leave.

                      Mike Prior-JonesD DaveT 2 Replies Last reply
                      0
                      • T Tomala

                        @SkyLuke @drmikepj

                        I think that in this case, the opposite is true.
                        After ~ 30 years, they woke up to the fact that capitalist greed had created a monster.
                        What we are now witnessing are convulsions in the face of an existential threat!

                        SkyLukeS This user is from outside of this forum
                        SkyLukeS This user is from outside of this forum
                        SkyLuke
                        wrote last edited by
                        #18

                        @tomala @drmikepj Yes, but instead of trying to evolve they want to make the entire world go back to the past by force. While everyone goes away from fossil fuels, they are invading a nation yet again to get their oil.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • DaveT Dave

                          @drmikepj

                          True but given the proximity, how close is enough, what is the range of the assets required to do what they might want to do, be logical is a good starting point, preempt it, long range bombing you may not know, but why would they bomb what they might need, surgical strikes more likely, so watch military movements, ships leaving, where are they going, carriers with required shorter range assets to do the job.

                          That's what I'd be looking at, no surprises, eliminate the possibilities, or confirm it, and leave.

                          Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                          Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                          Mike Prior-Jones
                          wrote last edited by
                          #19

                          @trelord75 I know the typical US military air movements for a normal season (I’ve even flown on some of them, as military aircraft support science projects) and so any OSINT showing ships, helicopters, tanker aircraft or non-transport aircraft in the area will indicate something will happen.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          0
                          • DaveT Dave

                            @drmikepj

                            True but given the proximity, how close is enough, what is the range of the assets required to do what they might want to do, be logical is a good starting point, preempt it, long range bombing you may not know, but why would they bomb what they might need, surgical strikes more likely, so watch military movements, ships leaving, where are they going, carriers with required shorter range assets to do the job.

                            That's what I'd be looking at, no surprises, eliminate the possibilities, or confirm it, and leave.

                            DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                            DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                            Dave
                            wrote last edited by
                            #20

                            @drmikepj

                            Also worth noting, the other place is tropical, your destination is ice covered, they need established assets to gain any foothold, if they destroy them then they would have to build, already defeated themselves if they do that.

                            Mike Prior-JonesD 1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • DaveT Dave

                              @drmikepj

                              Also worth noting, the other place is tropical, your destination is ice covered, they need established assets to gain any foothold, if they destroy them then they would have to build, already defeated themselves if they do that.

                              Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                              Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                              Mike Prior-Jones
                              wrote last edited by
                              #21

                              @trelord75 Greenland isn’t all ice-covered, and all the populated areas are just tundra. Seisure of strategic locations (airports) would be the obvious military objective. Greenland has no internal roads so everything travels by air or sea.

                              Mike Prior-JonesD DaveT 2 Replies Last reply
                              0
                              • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

                                I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

                                epicdemiologistE This user is from outside of this forum
                                epicdemiologistE This user is from outside of this forum
                                epicdemiologist
                                wrote last edited by
                                #22

                                @drmikepj My kid just turned down an invitation from a British friend to join them for eclipse-viewing in Iceland this summer--because my kid is trans, and was afraid they wouldn't be let back into the US.

                                Mike Prior-JonesD 1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

                                  @trelord75 Greenland isn’t all ice-covered, and all the populated areas are just tundra. Seisure of strategic locations (airports) would be the obvious military objective. Greenland has no internal roads so everything travels by air or sea.

                                  Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                                  Mike Prior-Jones
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #23

                                  @trelord75 my main concern is the ensuing logistical chaos after an invasion, rather than the relatively small risk of being killed by military action

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

                                    @trelord75 Greenland isn’t all ice-covered, and all the populated areas are just tundra. Seisure of strategic locations (airports) would be the obvious military objective. Greenland has no internal roads so everything travels by air or sea.

                                    DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                                    DaveT This user is from outside of this forum
                                    Dave
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #24

                                    @drmikepj

                                    I just keep thinking of the Team Amer1kkka theme song, ckfu yeah, coming through to save ...

                                    Those guys are gunna have a field day with all this junk, and so they should.

                                    (obligatory "Matt Damon" as a sign of love & respect)

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • Mike Prior-JonesD Mike Prior-Jones

                                      I know this is pretty small beer in the light of world events, but I was not expecting to have to write “risk of invasion by the USA” into the risk assessment for my fieldwork in Greenland in June.

                                      Angela ScholderA This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Angela ScholderA This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Angela Scholder
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #25

                                      @drmikepj A year ago that would indeed have been a far fetched idea.
                                      But, the announcements have been repeated already multiple times since.

                                      Mike Prior-JonesD 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • epicdemiologistE epicdemiologist

                                        @drmikepj My kid just turned down an invitation from a British friend to join them for eclipse-viewing in Iceland this summer--because my kid is trans, and was afraid they wouldn't be let back into the US.

                                        Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                                        Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                                        Mike Prior-Jones
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #26

                                        @epicdemiologist that’s very sad

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • Angela ScholderA Angela Scholder

                                          @drmikepj A year ago that would indeed have been a far fetched idea.
                                          But, the announcements have been repeated already multiple times since.

                                          Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Mike Prior-JonesD This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Mike Prior-Jones
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #27

                                          @AngelaScholder indeed, hence my concern! I’ve been doing fieldwork in Greenland every year for the last four years, this is the first time I’ve had to take a threat of war seriously

                                          1 Reply Last reply
                                          0
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