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  3. We'll see how I feel in the morning, but for now i seem to have convinced myself to actually read that fuckin anthropic paper

We'll see how I feel in the morning, but for now i seem to have convinced myself to actually read that fuckin anthropic paper

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  • JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
    JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
    Jenniferplusplus
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    We'll see how I feel in the morning, but for now i seem to have convinced myself to actually read that fuckin anthropic paper

    JenniferplusplusJ 1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

      We'll see how I feel in the morning, but for now i seem to have convinced myself to actually read that fuckin anthropic paper

      JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
      JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
      Jenniferplusplus
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      I just

      I'm not actually in the habit of reading academic research papers like this. Is it normal to begin these things by confidently asserting your priors as fact, unsupported by anything in the study?

      I suppose I should do the same, because there's no way it's not going to inform my read on this

      Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S JenniferplusplusJ mx alex tax1a - 2020 (6)A Cat HicksG 4 Replies Last reply
      0
      • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

        I just

        I'm not actually in the habit of reading academic research papers like this. Is it normal to begin these things by confidently asserting your priors as fact, unsupported by anything in the study?

        I suppose I should do the same, because there's no way it's not going to inform my read on this

        Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
        Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
        Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        @jenniferplusplus No it is not. That kind of thing is left to the realm of "self-publishing". Was this thing peer reviewed?

        JenniferplusplusJ 1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

          I just

          I'm not actually in the habit of reading academic research papers like this. Is it normal to begin these things by confidently asserting your priors as fact, unsupported by anything in the study?

          I suppose I should do the same, because there's no way it's not going to inform my read on this

          JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
          JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
          Jenniferplusplus
          wrote last edited by
          #4

          "AI" is not actually a technology, in the way people would commonly understand that term.

          If you're feeling extremely generous, you could say that AI is a marketing term for a loose and shifting bundle of technologies that have specific useful applications.

          I am not feeling so generous.

          AI is a technocratic political project for the purpose of industrializing knowledge work. The details of how it works are a distant secondary concern to the effect it has, which is to enclose and capture all knowledge work and make it dependent on capital.

          JenniferplusplusJ mkjM Wulfyβ€”Speaker to the machinesN josh g.J 4 Replies Last reply
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          0
          • Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·

            @jenniferplusplus No it is not. That kind of thing is left to the realm of "self-publishing". Was this thing peer reviewed?

            JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
            JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
            Jenniferplusplus
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            @seanwbruno It is not. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

            Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S 2 Replies Last reply
            0
            • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

              @seanwbruno It is not. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

              Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
              Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
              Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·
              wrote last edited by
              #6

              @jenniferplusplus

              MikalaiM 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                @seanwbruno It is not. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

                Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
                Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
                Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·
                wrote last edited by
                #7

                @jenniferplusplus You have entirely more stamina than I have. I just read the first sentence of the abstract and emitted a guffaw and exclaimed, out loud for the spouse to hear, "Citation needed!".

                1 Reply Last reply
                0
                • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                  "AI" is not actually a technology, in the way people would commonly understand that term.

                  If you're feeling extremely generous, you could say that AI is a marketing term for a loose and shifting bundle of technologies that have specific useful applications.

                  I am not feeling so generous.

                  AI is a technocratic political project for the purpose of industrializing knowledge work. The details of how it works are a distant secondary concern to the effect it has, which is to enclose and capture all knowledge work and make it dependent on capital.

                  JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
                  Jenniferplusplus
                  wrote last edited by
                  #8

                  So, back to the paper.

                  "How AI Impacts Skill Formation"
                  https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

                  The very first sentence of the abstract:

                  > AI assistance produces significant productivity gains across professional domains, particularly for novice workers.

                  1. The evidence for this is mixed, and the effect is small.
                  2. That's not even the purpose of this study. The design of the study doesn't support drawing conclusions in this area.

                  Of course, the authors will repeat this claim frequently. Which brings us back to MY priors, which is that this is largely a political document.

                  aoanlaA JenniferplusplusJ CassandrichD 3 Replies Last reply
                  0
                  • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                    "AI" is not actually a technology, in the way people would commonly understand that term.

                    If you're feeling extremely generous, you could say that AI is a marketing term for a loose and shifting bundle of technologies that have specific useful applications.

                    I am not feeling so generous.

                    AI is a technocratic political project for the purpose of industrializing knowledge work. The details of how it works are a distant secondary concern to the effect it has, which is to enclose and capture all knowledge work and make it dependent on capital.

                    mkjM This user is from outside of this forum
                    mkjM This user is from outside of this forum
                    mkj
                    wrote last edited by
                    #9

                    @jenniferplusplus How about not just capital, but also permission?

                    Imagine a world in which "AI" is actually successful: it is widely, maybe even largely universally, adopted, and it actually works to deliver on its promises. (I *said* "imagine"! Bear with me.) In such a world, what happens to someone (person, company, country, whatever slicing you want to look at) who is *denied access to* this technology for whatever reason?

                    The power held by those in control of allowing access to that tech…

                    JenniferplusplusJ 1 Reply Last reply
                    0
                    • R ActivityRelay shared this topic
                    • mkjM mkj

                      @jenniferplusplus How about not just capital, but also permission?

                      Imagine a world in which "AI" is actually successful: it is widely, maybe even largely universally, adopted, and it actually works to deliver on its promises. (I *said* "imagine"! Bear with me.) In such a world, what happens to someone (person, company, country, whatever slicing you want to look at) who is *denied access to* this technology for whatever reason?

                      The power held by those in control of allowing access to that tech…

                      JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
                      Jenniferplusplus
                      wrote last edited by
                      #10

                      @mkj Yeah, same thing. You can't use industrial machines without the permission of the owner.

                      mkjM 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                        So, back to the paper.

                        "How AI Impacts Skill Formation"
                        https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

                        The very first sentence of the abstract:

                        > AI assistance produces significant productivity gains across professional domains, particularly for novice workers.

                        1. The evidence for this is mixed, and the effect is small.
                        2. That's not even the purpose of this study. The design of the study doesn't support drawing conclusions in this area.

                        Of course, the authors will repeat this claim frequently. Which brings us back to MY priors, which is that this is largely a political document.

                        aoanlaA This user is from outside of this forum
                        aoanlaA This user is from outside of this forum
                        aoanla
                        wrote last edited by
                        #11

                        @jenniferplusplus I like the fact that their own research doesn't fit their lazy claim you reference, and they spend a lot of time trying to work out how the claim can be true, even though their own evidence is against it (and more in line with the mixed evidence in the literature, as you say).

                        aoanlaA 1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·

                          @jenniferplusplus

                          MikalaiM This user is from outside of this forum
                          MikalaiM This user is from outside of this forum
                          Mikalai
                          wrote last edited by
                          #12

                          @seanwbruno @jenniferplusplus
                          Will "is peer reviewed" change validity/or-lack of the paper?
                          Should it?

                          Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S Kevin GranadeK 2 Replies Last reply
                          0
                          • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                            @mkj Yeah, same thing. You can't use industrial machines without the permission of the owner.

                            mkjM This user is from outside of this forum
                            mkjM This user is from outside of this forum
                            mkj
                            wrote last edited by
                            #13

                            @jenniferplusplus True, but I think it's safe to say that it's very possible to go through a whole life without personally touching or needing to use any industrial machinery.

                            (To be clear: I'm not arguing against you here.)

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            0
                            • MikalaiM Mikalai

                              @seanwbruno @jenniferplusplus
                              Will "is peer reviewed" change validity/or-lack of the paper?
                              Should it?

                              Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
                              Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S This user is from outside of this forum
                              Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·
                              wrote last edited by
                              #14

                              @mikalai @jenniferplusplus IMO, yes. However, reading the first sentence is enough for me to move on to spend my time on other things for the day.

                              MikalaiM 1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • aoanlaA aoanla

                                @jenniferplusplus I like the fact that their own research doesn't fit their lazy claim you reference, and they spend a lot of time trying to work out how the claim can be true, even though their own evidence is against it (and more in line with the mixed evidence in the literature, as you say).

                                aoanlaA This user is from outside of this forum
                                aoanlaA This user is from outside of this forum
                                aoanla
                                wrote last edited by
                                #15

                                @jenniferplusplus it reminds me a bit of the famous thing with the Flat Earth Society people who spent $20k on an expensive laser gyroscope to "prove" that the Earth was not a rotating sphere... and then spent a lot of time being very confused and upset when, of course, it measured precisely what you'd expect from a rotating spherical Earth.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                                  So, back to the paper.

                                  "How AI Impacts Skill Formation"
                                  https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.20245

                                  The very first sentence of the abstract:

                                  > AI assistance produces significant productivity gains across professional domains, particularly for novice workers.

                                  1. The evidence for this is mixed, and the effect is small.
                                  2. That's not even the purpose of this study. The design of the study doesn't support drawing conclusions in this area.

                                  Of course, the authors will repeat this claim frequently. Which brings us back to MY priors, which is that this is largely a political document.

                                  JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  JenniferplusplusJ This user is from outside of this forum
                                  Jenniferplusplus
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #16

                                  And now for a short break

                                  JenniferplusplusJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·S Sean πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈπŸ€·β€β™€οΈπŸ€·

                                    @mikalai @jenniferplusplus IMO, yes. However, reading the first sentence is enough for me to move on to spend my time on other things for the day.

                                    MikalaiM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    MikalaiM This user is from outside of this forum
                                    Mikalai
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #17

                                    @seanwbruno @jenniferplusplus
                                    I must apologize for focusing on peer review, abstracting from article itself.
                                    But, this "force-fed GenAI and slop" moment is to ask ourselves, about how we assess statements, ideas, words.
                                    If an article is in area with only 50 persons in it from the whole globe, "review" should be, 5 upvotes, 7 downvotes, at moment x, and then you decide to, spend time to comprehend article, or to wait. When this is more explicit, then we have better chances, as civilization, imho

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • MikalaiM Mikalai

                                      @seanwbruno @jenniferplusplus
                                      Will "is peer reviewed" change validity/or-lack of the paper?
                                      Should it?

                                      Kevin GranadeK This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Kevin GranadeK This user is from outside of this forum
                                      Kevin Granade
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #18

                                      @mikalai @seanwbruno @jenniferplusplus the thing that is a positive signal is that it *survived* peer review, which implies that there are multiple, knowledgeable, independent scientists in the area of study of the paper that read it and came to the conclusion, "the conclusions stated by this paper are supported by the data and arguments presented in the paper".

                                      This paper would not survive peer review.

                                      It is a flawed system but it is not worthless.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                                        I just

                                        I'm not actually in the habit of reading academic research papers like this. Is it normal to begin these things by confidently asserting your priors as fact, unsupported by anything in the study?

                                        I suppose I should do the same, because there's no way it's not going to inform my read on this

                                        mx alex tax1a - 2020 (6)A This user is from outside of this forum
                                        mx alex tax1a - 2020 (6)A This user is from outside of this forum
                                        mx alex tax1a - 2020 (6)
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #19

                                        @jenniferplusplus no, usually academic studies have a null hypothesis of "the effect we're trying to study does not exist" and are required to provide evidence sufficient to reject that hypothesis

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • JenniferplusplusJ Jenniferplusplus

                                          "AI" is not actually a technology, in the way people would commonly understand that term.

                                          If you're feeling extremely generous, you could say that AI is a marketing term for a loose and shifting bundle of technologies that have specific useful applications.

                                          I am not feeling so generous.

                                          AI is a technocratic political project for the purpose of industrializing knowledge work. The details of how it works are a distant secondary concern to the effect it has, which is to enclose and capture all knowledge work and make it dependent on capital.

                                          Wulfyβ€”Speaker to the machinesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Wulfyβ€”Speaker to the machinesN This user is from outside of this forum
                                          Wulfyβ€”Speaker to the machines
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #20

                                          @jenniferplusplus

                                          #regulateai

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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